Develop demand forecasts (operational forecasts) at multiple levels of aggregation for multiple time horizons as part of a demand planning function.
Review historical sales trends, research demand drivers, prepare forecast data, develop statistical forecast models, and evaluate forecast results.
Coordinate cross-functional research activities to reconcile significant variances and refine the forecast model to reflect updated sales and marketing assumptions.
Interact with Commercial, Finance and Distributors to understand demand forecast drivers.
Utilize a collaborative and consensus approach by working with Commercial, Finance and Distributors to obtain and ensure that current and accurate information is used for demand forecasts.
Review monthly the distributor stock levels at SKU level, estimate rolling monthly stock levels and propose replenishment orders to the distributor. Track batch utilisation by distributor and assess expiry risk.
Review and monitor the monthly FOC given to retail accounts by the distributor and reconcile this commercial and Financial budgets / assumptions.
Monthly review stocks at company Distributor HUB and ensure effective utilisation of batches and minimise risk of write off.
Provide input to the Supply Planning organization in developing inventory strategies on existing items, new products, and product phase-outs.
Closely coordinate and communicate distributor action plans with supply planning.